CO 1030/1703 Emergency evacuation arrangements





1965

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P.I. 51-3902

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C.O.R. 30.

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Ahok.

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FILE NUMBER

 

FED 528 400 10:

PART

FAR

EXIST DEPARTMENT

FILE PERIOD

FILE TITLE

1963-1965

EVACUATION OF BRITISH SUBJECTS

HONG KONG IN THE

FROM

EVENT

OF AN EMERGENCY

When circulated this file must be enclosed in a "Special Care" numbered box and must be kept under lock and key when not in use.

INDEX HEADINGS

PART

FILE NUMBER

FED 528/400/01

|EVACUATION

H-504

¦

HONG KONG

!

1

(0 1030 1703

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REC

19/2/91

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х

P.L. 51.3502

C.O.R. 30,

mleden v ang

1960-62-

PRECEDENTS NOTED UNDER:-

RELATED FILES :-

(Previous -Same Title (No.)

CROSS REFERENCED UNDER:-

RESTRICTED

UNITED KINGDOM SECURITY WARNINGS

1. Category AC telegram. Paraphrase NOT required.

GRANJA CIRE

18 JUN 1963 correspondence

A telegram which contains a reference to any classified telegram of correspondence must itself be classified.

3. The Ministry of Defence Cypher Office must be consulted if it is desired to distribute or release this telegram, or any part of it, to a person or nation who would not normally be authorised to receive it,

FAR EASTERN

FRO

: MINISTRY OF DEFENCE, LONDON

2 4 JUN 1963

1

ΤΟ

: CINC FAR EAST

DEU KRED

MAGUNTA 28

33/60-64 Reference

02

7033 TOO 171620Z

17th June, 1963

Reference: JP(61)51(A) (Draft) → FED 5-28/400/0

Regret no progress to report. Subject at

present under consideration in the Colonial Öffice.

CIRCULATION

Director of Plans, C.D.S.

TOO 171620Z

Director of Plans, Admiralty

Director of Plans, er Office

Director of Joint Plans, Air Ministry Secretary, Joint Planning Staff

0.0.S.

RESTRICTED

|

Our reference: Your reference:

From:

TOP -OBORET - QUARD))|

Captain I.G. Mason, R.N.

MINISTRY OF DEFENCE

Storey's Gate, LONDON S.W.1 Telephone: WHitehall 7000

7th November 1963

Dear Alee,

I have been taking a look at the state of various studies undertaken by the Defence Planning Staff over the past two years and which have not yet been completed.

(33 Pree) As

(35

As you know the study on Hong Kong (JP(61)51) came to a halt in November last year at the draft stage. The last paper on our file is a letter from you to Wernon Erskine Crum (FED 528/400/01 (TS) of 13th November 1962) forwarding a copy of a minute you had put up on the subject.

I wonder if you could let me know how this matter now stands. In June this year we told the Far East

Planners that the subject was under consideration in the Colonial Office. Perhaps we ought to consider sending them a further situation report unless you feel they are already aware of the position. If there is no intention or progressing this study at the moment we ought, perhaps to consider letting the Chiefs of Staff know. Could we discuss this next time you are over here?

The Hon. A.P. Cumming-Bruce, 0.B.E.,

Colonial Office,

Church House,

London, S.W.1.

Jours sicurly

Ian Maan

Warnin 8/11

TOP-JEGRET---GUARD

1504

FEAR

L

Feel

75/51/02

in

3

TOP SECRET

BIGOT

loopy for FED 52.8/400/01)

30th December, 1963

I really must apologise for the delay in replying to your manuscript letter of the 25th October in which you asked whether there were replies to several outstanding questions, 1.8. the role of the garrison, denial policy, dormant Commission and evacuation policy. Even now I cannot do more than indicate the present state of the play at this end and give you an ides of the line we have taken in a preliminary talk we have had with Tright, the Unie -- Secretary who is accompanying the Minister of Defence on his visit to you next month. Clearly, there is little more we can do at this end until after the Minister's return, and I am sure that it will help matters along a great deal for you to have been able to discuss all these questions with him, particularly as the new CBF will be a member of his party.

In your Top Secret savingram No. 1805 of the 9th August, you said that you have accepted the revised directive to the CRP subject to the proviso that it would be liable to amendment in the light of any decision on the ultimate purpose of the garrison. You asked however that the role of the garrison should be further clarified and that "our policy and purpose" should be re- examined. Our feeling is that while there is not likely to be any diaposition to insist on resistance for its own sake it is not possible to define in advance when resistance would become useless. We doubt therefore whether we shall get

                                        We think that our very far with any attempt to secure such a definition. tactics should be primarily directed towards securing satisfactory answɑr's on the related questions of denial policy, the dormant Commission and evacuation. If you have these, then perhaps the lack of definition of the role of the garrison will not be so important.

Taking denial first, we gather from your letter of the 14th June that it is the interpretation to be placed on the general phrase that appears in the prosent directive, i.e. "to deny an aggressor the use of installations of shart term military value" with which you are concerned rather than with the phrase itself. It is of course just possible to conceive of circumstances where even a limited denial of this kind might be inappropriate and where, as between helping to cover the sscape of persons who would be in special danger if the Chinese occupied the Calory and such denial, the former justified a higher priority in the use of scarce troops. With the directive as it stands at present the CBF of the tins would obviously have to give priority to the latter. This is a point you my wish to raise with the Minister,

In your letter you draw attention to the BDCC(FE)'s views of 1960 and to the difficulties that these would raise. We think the most promising line of approach here would be to try and secure a closer definition of what is involved. in "installations of short term military value," and in particular of items such as fuel stocks, docking and repair facilities: for example, we should expect

SIR ROBERT BLACK, GCMG, OFE,

GOVERNMENT HOUSE,

VICTORIA

5913 593

TOP SEC E

BIGG

/the

TOP SECRET

The

the military authorities to be very resistant to the idea of leaving any aviation fuel intact, but to be less vorried about ordinary diesel fuel. planning work on this will, we think have to be carried out locally, but we shall seok to secure a directive to the lossl military authorities that will exolude installations or resourose the destruction of which would impose hardship on the local population disproportiomte to the military advantages of denial,

                                               In any onse, thereafter the proposals of the local, military authorities (which they would of course be instructed to discuss with you) would have to be referred back to London for approval.

 On the dormant Commission, we have already indicated to you, with the agrement of the Chiefs of Staff (our Top Secret savingram No. 1122 of the 3rd July) that in principle we (at least at the official level) are in sympathy with your point of view. Even though we should probably be unable to secure any closer definition of the role of the garrison we are rolsonably confident that in the light of the further comments in your savingram No. 1805 and of the preliminary discussion we have had with Bright, there should not be undue difficulty in securing acceptance of your recommendation, particularly now that the garrison has been so drastically reduced since the original decision.

I shall be sending you a seperate talegren to arrive in tine for you to consider it before Mr Thorneycraft's arrival, on the most difficult question that of evacuation policy, This of course is a question that will have to be submitted to our Secretary of State and probably to Ministers collectively. Before doing so we shall seek the views of the Chiefs of Staff and it is on some points on which we require further clarification that I shall be telegraphing you very shortly.

Once more may I apologise for the delay in dealing with these complex and important questions ?

(V. I. J. Wallsos)

TOP SECRET

BIGO.

PRIORITY MARKINGS

 Emergency Immediate

equired

File No. FED 528/400/01

DRAFT

*TELEGRAM

SECURITY, ETC., MARKINGS Top Secret Secret

*SAVINGRAM Confidential

* Delete whichever is inapplicable. If necessary. "Priority" may be inserted before "Savingram."

Restricted Unclassified Personal Guard

Addressed

Mr. Higham

ali

Mr..

Wallace lot

(Insert appropriate priority marking)

Mr........

چاہتا

GOVERNOR, HONG KONG

Mr......

Sir......

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

ENCLOSURES

(Savingrams only!

MEDIUM

En clair

Code

Cypher

¡Delete whichever

is inapplicable)

SAVINGRAMS ONLY

Your Reference

File References

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Insect appropriate security, etc., marking)

No.

Repeated

(Insert appropriate priority marking)

такл

Corouter

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13/1

FOR USE IN TELEGRAPH BRANCH

Despatched.

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At.

No

Code

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Cypher OTP Simplex En clair

..Hrs.

SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS

182 DEF 75/51/2

Come &

No copying

DISTRIBUTION AND

FURTHER ACTION

the file

+

32:

62 vol

29A: 62 vol.

Following from Wallace.

My letter of 30 Je promised telegram

about evacuation

onpolicy.

2. Before we finally put this to Chiefs of

Staff preparatory to submission to Ministers we

must establish whether there are still any

differences between you and the military

authorities (1.e. C-in-C Far East, now that BDCC

dissolved) on extent to which outline/planning in advance

is necessary. ん

3. Para. 11 of your despatch of 13 October 1962

shows there may still be some misunderstanding.

We think it is clear that, despite some verbal

ambiguity in their paper, BDCC accepted foo

TOP SECRET

Delete whichever.

PRINT NO PRINTING in inapplicable)

TOP SECRET

-2-

o, for different

and that therfore there "plamming Thanks! be mo

this.

for the

and (b) against the ponovility I military situation often outbreak y

Thostilitus parving

ma

lou un formmable than expireted the preparation of outline plans (presumably modest banke) on the evenation, I wider catagoring them are him ted kuum brey

colored by (a)

(28) '62 vol

Townage for comunation.

AL.P.

#ill Planner here) that there could be no

t during a period o planning for large-scale evacuation either tention before hostel has food after hostilities have beskerm and before or during hostilities (DCC paper referred to in para. 10 of your despatch still

however seems to envisage preparation of - outline plans (presumably on a modest scale)

against the possibility of military situation proving less unfavourable uger

(a) _expected-as-

/outline planning for

transpurt for evacuation of particularly vulnerable

valuable categories after start of hostilities

on lines of para. 9(c) of your despatch) Whatove.

5. Presumably objection in para, 35 of paper

enclosed in your letter of 18 June 1962 to

Martin that evacuation of a small proportion of

European women and children would increase

dangers of those left behind would still apply

even if arrangements could be made in more

favourable ciruumstances referred to above,

It would, however, be difficult to deny any

who were willing to risk the hazards the

opportunity of accepting passages if there

Ships and

were spare capacity. In these circumstances

would it not be advisable to have some kind of

priorities or additional categories worked

out and some plans

(a) oborei

L

in the stocks for wing available

I take it that you would have no

objection to planning on lines of para, 9(c) of

your despatch (which on your side may amount to

little more than preparing lists of names).

6. If that to so, then sole divergence between you

and BDCC relates to "less unfavourable situation"

referred to in para, 4 above,

TOP SECRET

SECER

Ev.

Pps.

:

!

Original

on FED 382/400/01 T.S.

Extract from Record of Mtg between V.C.D.S. / Governor Hong Kong-

Tom 15

(b) The suggestion that an evacuation policy was feasible was very

dangerous and unrealistic due to the insuperable difficulties of discrimination. This was also being considered by the Colonial

Office.

5

64

TOP SECRET BIGOT

Avs

by

Hr & Record loopy

FED 528/400/01 TS

TOP SECTET BIGOT

(6)

13th Jamary, 1964

82 on DEF 75/ (3) In the penultimate paragraph of my letter of the 30th December I promised

51/02 - copy

             a telegram, to arrive in time for you to consider it before Mr Thorneycroft's marked to come arrival, seeking further clarification on the question of evacuation policy. to this file, but not/yet

here.

This telegram was in draft when we heard that Mr Thornycraft would not after, all be visiting Hong Kong. This removed the immediate urgency, which would have necessitateda telegram, and, in view of the desirability of doing all we can to keep consideration of this question to as small, a number of people (particularly at the Hong Kong end) as possible, it semed to me that it would be better to send the enquiries in today's diplomatic bag.

What follows therefore is the text of the telegram which would have been sent. John Higham saw it as a telegram on Friday and this letter should arrive in good time for you to discuss the matter with him while he is in Hong Kong. Perhaps you would kindly show him this letter.

The draft text of the telegram was as follows 1-

Before we finally put this to Chiefs of Staff preparatory to submission to Ministers we must establish whether there are still any differences between you and the military authorities (i.e. C-in-C Far Bast, now that BDCC dissolved) on extent to which outline planning in advance is necessary,

(32 pew)

Paragraph 11 of your despatch of 13th October, 1962, shows there may still be some misundara tanding. We think it is clear that, despite some verbal ambiguity in their paper, BDCC accepted that there could be no large-scale evacuation either during a period of tension before hostilities or, for different reasons, after hostilities have broken out and that therefore there should be no planning for this.

                                BDCC paper referred to in paragraph 10 of your despatch still however seems to envisage (a) outline planning for transport for evacuation of particularly vulnerable categorias after start of hostilities (on lines of paragraph 9(c) of your despatch, and (b) against the possibility of military situation after outbreak of hostilities proving less unfavourable than expected, the preparation of outline plans (presumably on a modest scale) for the evacuation of wider catagories than the very limited mmbers covered by (a).

(a) above.

    I take it that you would have no objection to plaming on lines of paragraph 9(a) of your despatch (which on your side may amount to little more than preparing lists of names,

SIR ROBERT BLACK, GONG, OBE,

GOVERNMENT HOUSE,

VICTORIA,

FONE KH

TOP SECRET BIGOT

/(b) above.

!

ply

TOP SECRINT BIGOT

(28 Pru) (b) above.

Presumably objection in paragraph 35 of paper enclosed in your letter of 18th June, 1962, to Martin that evacuation of a small proportion of Ewropean women and children would increase dangers of those left behind would still apply even if arrangements could be made in more favourable circumstances referred to above. It would, however, be difficult to dery any who were willing to risk the hazards the opportunity of accepting passages if there were ships and spare capecity. In these circumstances would it not be advisable to have some kind of priorities or additional ostegories worked out and some plans on the stocks for using available tonnage for evacuation?"

(3ga)

(W. I. J. Wallace)

TOP SECRET

ETCOT

TOP SECRET

Hary Ra R

BIGOT

6:

(4)

Exacvation p

Love

7/2

GOVERNMENT HOUSE

Dear Jan.

HONG KONG.

بنا

6

30th January, 1964.

   Thank you for your letter FED 528/400/01 TS of 13th January, 1964. I showed it to John Higham and later discussed it with him at a meeting attended by my senior advisers, We considered specifically the points you raise in your letter, and then went over again our own views on evacuation policy.

2.

   On "outline planning for transport for evacuation of particularly vulnerable categories after the start of hostilities", so long as this amounts to no more than making lists of names of specialists in Intelligence and of especially vulnerable civilians, in the hope that transport by the Navy may in the event be available, I would agree. No other planning for such categories seems feasible. When the time came to get them away, and if a naval vessel were there, they could be given their instructions verbally by whatever means seemed best at the time.

3.

-

   As to further planning, I still hold the view that there can be no other plans - outline or detailed for the evacuation of any larger part of the population, either before or after the start of hostilities. already know my reasons. They are briefly :

You

(a) There would be no means of transporting

all who wished to go. Selective evacuation on grounds of race is, politically, most undesirable and morally indefensible. It could invite the collapse of civil defence services, including the Police, and of law and order generally.

W.I.J.Wallace, Esq., C.M.G., 0.B.E., Assistant Under-Secretary of State, Colonial Office,

LONDON.

TOP SECRET

/ (b) Any

BIGOTI

I

4.

TOP SECK!

CV

BIGOT

(b) Any evacuation before hostilities

(c)

(a)

started would be interpreted as an admission of defeat, would destroy morale in Hong Kong and damage our reputation throughout the Far East.

Selective evacuation after hostilities started would require employment of British troops or the predominantly Chinese Police Force to protect and assist the evacuation, deflecting them from their proper tasks of fighting the enemy and maintaining law and order.

Europeans would not necessarily be in greater danger from hostile attack than others. On the contrary, the main danger to them would arise from the breakdown of law and order and the development of mob violence and looting.

(e) In any case, people on unprotected

evacuation ships would probably be in greater danger at sea than in Hong Kong.

   This assessment stands even if, after the start of hostilities, the military situation developed more favourably than we expected. Preparation of outline plans for the evacuation of wider categories than the very limited numbers agreed in paragraph 2 above brings us face to face with all the objections which constrain us to oppose a wholesale evacuation plan. We cannot determine priorities without discrimination, and the more you try to prune the list the more pronounced becomes the discrimination. I therefore hold to my view that we should not plan for an evacuation of women and children, even in a more favourable military situation than the worst. The furthest I believe we can go in such circumstances, assuming shipping space were available at the time and the risks at sea deemed acceptable, would be to organise ad hoc the evacuation of service families on the grounds that they could be got together quickly

TOP SECRE

and virtually

BIGOT

TOP SECRET BIGOT

- 3-

For the

and virtually without planning or warning. rest, if the shipping companies had space available I consider the most we should do is to encourage them to make the best use of it, women and children first, on a first-come, first-served basis without discrimina- tion.

Yours Care

(R.B.BLACK)

Romi Maca

TOP SECRET

BIGOT

TOP SECRET

D/CBF

Dear You

GOVERNMENT HOUSE

HONG THÀN

Th. Higham

یا

PERSONAL

24 July, 1964.

6/8

7

وهرة

Ано

(32) Pre

FED 520/1488/09

    I wonder if you have yet any news for us on the subjects covered in your letter (DEF 75/51/02) of 30 December 1963 to Robin Black,

Purpose of the Garrison,

We have dropped this one, I think we are in fact sufficiently agreed and that the C. B. F. '9 Directive is satisfactory.

Denial. In his letter D/AP II of 16 March Black asked whether you agreed with the list of denial 'targets' agreed between him and the C. B. F. and forwarded to CINCFE.

     Dormant Commission. This was discussed with the present C. B. F. when he visited Hong Kong as V. C. D. S. and with Higham when he was here. In his letter of 30 January 1964 Black said that there seemed to be "general agreement that action now lies with the Colonial Office to put a formal end to the dormant Commission, "

-

-

Evacuation. This subject also was discussed with Higham in the light of your letter (FED 528/400/01) of 13 January 1964. In his reply dated 30 January Black reiterated his objections (with which I agree) to any plans outline or detailed for the evacuation of anybody beyond the 'particularly vulnerable categories'. You will recall that in his despatch 2133 of 13 October 1962, Black also sought a decision on his earlier recommendation (savingram 2164 of 27 October 1961) with regard to evacuation from Macau.

Что

Yours ever

David.

C. TRENCH)

W. I. J. Wallace, Esq., C. M. G., O. B. E. Colonial Office, London.

TOP SECRET

i

£

TOP SECRET : PERSONAL

Copy on DEF 75/51/02

вору

FED 528/400/01 TS

8

8th September, 1964

TOP SECRET

PERSONAL

sent 9/9.14

Į

(7)

(121)

You wrote to me on the 29th July about denial, the dormant commission and evacuation. I fear that once again we must don sack-cloth and ashes and admit that we have not yet been able to put the papers to Ministers on the two main outstanding

points, 1.e. the dormant commission and evacuation. These two are of course closely interconnected and they must go forward

together. We are now ready to make a submission to Ministers, but we feel that it would be better to wait until a new

Government is in office before doing so. We do promise to seek a decision as soon as possible after the election.

-

I am glad to say that I can be more positive about the third subject Denial, about which Robin Black wrote to me on

the 16th March. The list of installations to be destroyed

enclosed with that letter has now been approved as it stands

by the Chiefs of Staff. You can take it therefore that that

DEF 75/5102 is the list on which action should be based, though we shall

probably seek endorsement from Ministers of the general policy (not of the specific targets) when we put to them the papers on evacuation, etc.

Signed

SIR DAVID TRENCH, KCMG, MC,

GOVERNMENT HOUSE,

VICTORIA,

HONG KONG.

(W. I. J. Wallace)

TOP SECRET: PERSONAL

I

Mr. Higham Y

File No. FED 528/400/01 TS

Mr.

Wallace

staffe

Mr.

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

TOP SECRET PERSONAL

Mr.

Minister of State

Sir

Secretary of State

Your Reference.

DRAFT 8.0. LETTER FOR MR WALLACE'S SIGNATURE.

SIR DAVID TRENCH, KCMG, MC, Government House, Hong Kong.

Date

8. 9- 1967

List of The dellations

121: DEF 75/51/02

c.c.

FURTHER ACTION

DEF 75/51/02

KIV

(A

Re-cine this to

M. Carten

(A)

the it

You wrote to me on 29-July about Denise Evacuation. the Dormant Commission and Estion Denial, I fear that once again we must don

sack-cloth and ashes and admit that we have

not yet been able to put the papers to Ministers on the two main outstanding points,

         and wonation i.e.Evacuation and the Dormant Commission. These two are of course closely interconnected

and they must go forward together. We are

now ready to make a submission to Ministers,

but we feel that it would be better to wait

until a new Government is in office before

doing so. We do promise to seek a decision as soon as possible after the election.

I am glad to say that I can be more positive about the third subject Denial, about which Robin Black wrote to me on the 16-March, The list (enclosed with the letter of installations to be destroyed/has now been approved as it stands by the Chiefs of

Staff. You can take it therefore that the is the list on which action should be based,

we hall polotting neck what form Thuistin tithe qend policy (not pothe spect) when we tws the the topoma concerto de

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Signed

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[E4098) Wi 42332-0537 50m 1/64 V.B. Gp 791

TOP SECRET : PERSONAL

4. S. Carte 216

Mr..

Mr.

Higham

Mr.

File No.

TOP SECRET

We Autoblert

FED

525/456/07

Permt. U.S. of S.

Wallace Letter being th

Mr.

Sir

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Your Reference

Date

DRAFT iter

Su Dand Trench, K.E.N.G., M.C.

Garl. Howe

Hong Kong

(121)

Su (128)

Blach

wrote

to

me

The 16"

March

under reference

>/API) about dinial policy,

know

with

You

Will

be glad to

that the list (enclosed

his letter) of installations

to be destroyed has

Approved

now been

as it stands

by

the Chiefs of Staff Committee.

FURTHER ACTION

(E6058) WI 42332-8537 50m 1/64 V.B. Gp 791

1

28

1. Magenta 25-10 (133/00-627/7.6.63

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Mr Higham

This was touched on when we had our discussion on 20.xii. with Mr Wright of the Ministry of Defence, who is accompanying Mr Thorneycroft on his forthcoming visit to, among other places, Hong Kong.

2. We agreed with Mr Wright that the proper course was to get 003 views on the recommendations of the Governor and the BDCC, making it clear that the matter had not yet been put to Ministers and that the views of the Chiefs were wanted so that the matter might be put to Kinisters, We further agreed that submission to the Chiefs should wait until after Mr Thorneycroft's visit to Hong Kong since this subject will no doubt be discussed by him with the Governor in connection with other matters such as the CBF's Directive, the Dormant Commission and the question whether in the event of a Chinese attack there should be a fight to the finish or not.

3. Meanwhile, as you and I agreed yesterday, we should consider an urgent letter (or telegram) to the Governor to clarify his views about the real differences, if any, remaining between him and the BDCC e.g. in paragraph 9 of Mr Carter's useful draft paper there is the phrase: "the Governor appears to maintain the view that there should be no evacuation plans"; we must know if he does or not. communication ought to get to him before Mr Thorneycroft arrives.

-

Our

On a secondary point, I note that in paragraph 10(b), read with paragraph 6, of the Annex to COS (62)379 - at 294 on the 1960-62 file the BDCC recommend that the Directive to CBF Hong Kong should, as agreed by the CBF himself, be revised to contain a continued reference to evacuation, provided it is varied to cover only the proposals now made. JP(61)51(A)(Draft) at 33 and the Ministry of Defence comment on this at 35 accept this. (Paragraph 11 of 33 and the new paragraph 12 suggested in 35.) Yet I remember that in the revised Directive, as agreed by the Governor and issued some months ago, there is no reference at all to "covering evacuation." Though one can understand why the Governor accepts this omission, I still think it is a pity.

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This file (but which is it yet here) by.

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We all

/recognise

1

recognise that after hostilities have begun the chance of evacuating anyone would be rather slim and the possibility that the CBF would have forces to spare to cover this still slimmer.

There is however some advantage from the civilian point of view having at least the desirability of doing this, if possible, written into his Directive. this is water under the bridge now, but the point should not be lost sight of in case the Directive is looked at again in the light of any discussion Mr Thorneycroft may have with the Governor.

I think

24th December, 1963

P.S. In paragraph 15 of his despatch at 32 on the 1960-62 papers the Governor refers to communications from

him about HG's policy on evacuation from Macau to which he has not had a reply.

24.xii.63

3 Hong Kong (Sir R. Black)

Kr. Wallace: Origind

on DEF 75/51102

30-12-63

I think the only point on which we need further clarification from the Governor is that referred to in para. 3 of your minute above, to which Mr. Cumming-Bruce draws attention in para. 3 of his minute of 13 November 1962. I attach a draft telegram.

2. On the general question I do not find myself in entire agreement with the view taken by the Governor on the moral and political aspects of his proposal to abandon general evacuation plans, Provided we made every effort to include in any such plans those local persons who would be particularly liable to Chinese retaliation I do not think that we need have any conscience in endeavouring to bring out as many European women and children as possible. I doubt very much whether such action on our part would have all the consequences suggested by the Governor in paras. 2 12 of 5/11.

3. It seems to me that a decision on this issue must rest on

(a)

our assessment of the fate of European dependents if the CPG take over Hong Kong after a battle;

(b) the practicability of the operation.

If there are any likelihood that European dependents would be subjected by a victorious CPG to torture and degradation, and if there were a good chance of safely evacuating large numbers. then in my view we should not hesitate to insist that plans for evacuation should stand. I think, however, that the Governor's assessment of the situation in E/11 is correct: that European dependents would not be in any greater danger than locals, and that an attempt at evacuation might lead to a breakdown of law and order and endanger the very

/lives

¡

&ww Converted int lettin

131,

very lives we were trying to save. Even the powerful argument that evacuation before hostilities would encourage the Chinese to launch an attack that they might not have initiated would not. I think, be conclusive if there were any serious doubt about the safety of dependents after Chinese occupation. I do not think that we can say that douuts on this score are sufficiently serious to warrant our rejecting the Governor's recommendation in respect of a post or pre hostilities evacuation policy.

Тя

gon

8 January 1964

The amended in consultation

with th. Hihnan.

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V.C.D.S. | Governor Hongkong

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FEO 382 1400/01

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and

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176

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8 To Hong Kong (Sir 1) Trench) ref (~)-8.4.64

Mr. Wallace The Garter)

=(through

You will remember that last year we discussed a draft on this vexed question with Mr Carter. I am sorry it has taken me so long to revise it and, as you will see, I decided that the best course was to completely re-write the draft.

As you know my own view is that. reluctant though I should be to see the abandonment of British Chinese, I do not entirely share the Governor's view that it would be morally wrong to do so. If it is accepted that no evacuation plan can be implemented because of the practical difficulties then this decision about whether or not to discriminate in favour of European women and children does not arise. But if the conclusion is that we must continue to have plans in readiness for dealing with the possibility of evacuation should, for example Americans come to the rescue in good time view is that the present plan should stand, i.e., priority goes to Europeans but we do try and get off as many Chinese loyalists as possible.

the then my

I do not think the Governor's submissions on this question have taken sufficiently into account the possibility of American intervention. Although, as you know, we have felt latterly that it would be unwise to embark on discussions with the Americans about the defence of Hong Kong. the fact remains that the Americans are very much concerned with Hong Kong evacuation plans and, in the early 1950s, were kept in touch with our thinking. As far as I have been able to trace, the Americans intended to send in their own ship to Hong Kong. Unfortunately both plans INCUBATE AND DIGIT (which replaces INCUBATE) cannot be found in the office so we do not know precisely how it was intended to deal with American and Commonwealth nationals. I suspect that, if the Americans scented an emergency in the offing, they would try and get as many of their people off before hostilities; but of course there might be very little time to do this (at the end of 1964 there were nearly 3,500 Americans in Hong Kong).

I hope that the draft note is self-explanatory and covers most of the main points. H. 504 are continuing the search for the evacuation plan and will let Mr. Carter know how they fare.

on

(J. D. HIGHAM) 20 April, 1965.

(Mr Wallace) Mr Highe

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Mr.

TOP SECRET

File No. FE) $2.5/4.00/pi

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Mr.

Sir

Your Reference.

DRAFT

L

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Date

!

Iefence Issues:

Three

Heng Keng

defence senes

сепсанита

Hong Kong

have been

et officit level for a conus'dratlan

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FURTHER ACTION

(E6098) WI 42332-8537 50m 1/64 V.L. Op 791

1.

(a)

consideration) by officials:..

The evacuation of culiaris

(b) The Governor's Dormant

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evacuation; any

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chy position

there and would be Chely to have

NOTE

TOP SECRET

HONG KONG

(a)

Evacuation of Civilians in Wartime

(b)

Assumption of Government by Commander British

Forces in Grave Emergency

(12) on 14521/15 of

1950

(a)

Evacuation Introduction

At the time of the Korean war the Governor of Hong Kong was instructed to prepare plans for the evacuation of civilians,

He was told by the then Secretary of State, Mr. Griffiths, that while every effort must be made to avoid racial discrimination. in the last resort, public opinion here would expect H.M.G. to ensure that no British women and children were unavoidably left behind. It was eventually agreed that plans should be on the basis that preferential treatment should be given to those who, if left behind, would be in danger of special discrimination or mistreatment and were least able to bear such treatment. By this yardstick top priority would be given to the dependents of service personnel, European women and children and the dependents of Hong Kong Chinese who had actively assisted Government. e.g. in the Volunteer Forces. Numbers involved were expected to be some 10,000, with a further 10 - 20,000 in lower priority categories, such as men and women of friendly

neutral countries and wives and families of British Chinese on

a "first come first served' basis. The current version of the plan is now some 8 years old (plan DIGIT). Subsequently a plan was drawn up for the evacuation, at a later stage, of non- essential civilians and of the garrison; but this plan was abandoned some years ago (plan BITING).

-

2. These plans were drawn up when there was a large garrison in Hong Kong (20 major units in 1951), when a prolonged and even a successful resistance was contemplated, when Singapore was available as a staging post for evacuees and when there was some possibility of finding permanent homes for Asian evacuees in territories under British control. Even then 4 days' notice would have been required to provide shipping for 10,000 and 10 days' notice for 16,000 refugees.

The Military Situation

3. By 1960 circumstances had changed so radically since 1951 that existing plans for evacuation were reviewed. With the 8 major units then at his disposal (the garrison has since

/been

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

been reduced to 63 major units) the Commander British Forces advised that he might be able to hold the rim of the harbour area for up to 3 days and to contain internal disorder, but he could not at the same time deploy the substantial forces that would be necessary to cover an evacuation. As the Airport would have been made unusable at an early stage evacuation by air would be impossible. Organised movement in the harbour would not be possible and, with the Chinese controlling by artillery, air and naval units all the approaches to Hong Kong, any major movement in or out of the Colony could not be contemplated. For any shipping that got away there would still be the hazards of a 640

mile journey to Manilla, the nearest reception port.

4.

Given this new military appreciation it is obvious that shipping for evacuation could not be brought in from outside.

Reliance would have to be placed on shipping already available, and this could take only a very small proportion of those eligible for evacuation,

5.

The Governor held that indications that the evacuation of a

  favoured group was being organised, consisting largely of European women and children, and "white" British manpower military and civil - was being diverted to do it would tend to accelerate the breakdown of law and order, seriously affecting in particular the morale of the Chinese public rank and file, and thus increasing the risk of attack on "foreigners". Any

  evacuation could include only small numbers of the European women and children. Those remaining and Chinese loyalists who

had to be left behind would be at greater risk because of the

evacuation attempt.

6.

     The Governor's conclusion, backed by the military authorities in the Far East, was that any planned evacuation after hostilities had started was quite impracticable, and he recommended in 1962 that existing plans for evacuation should be abandoned, He rejected the idea of any attempt to organise an evacuation before the start of hostilities. This would be interpreted both in Hong Kong and in China not as clearing the decks for action but as an admission of defeat and an open invitation to a Chinese attack, As an attack could be mounted at very short notice and at least 6 days would be required to assemble additional shipping from Singapore and elsewhere, there would be no certainty of being able to complete an evacuation in time.

17.

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

(30) on 14521/15 1950

Discrimination in favour of Europeans

7.

In 1949

From the very outset of evacuation planning successive Governors of Hong Kong have expressed the strongest objection to any evacuation plan based on racial discrimination. Sir Alexander Grantham said that he was certain that his Executive Council, if they were consulted, would insist that equal opportunities to leave must be available to all, irrespective of race. It was thought that the numbers of non-Europeans wishing to avail themselves of evacuation opportunities would be limited, though it was recognised that any estimate of numbers must be highly conjectural time it was thought that a total of some 30,000 including Europeans) might wish to leave.

8.

At that

Subsequently, when it became clear that shipping could not possibly be made available for numbers of this order, the Governor agreed to the scheme described in paragraph 1 above and felt that this, while being "beyond justifiable criticism" would in fact enable the highest priority to be granted to European women and children since it could scarcely be denied that they were the most vulnerable group of all. At a later stage still however the view has been taken in Hong Kong that even this echeme is politically most objectionable in that it would be obvious that its practical effect would be to give preference to

Europeans.

The more categories have to be pared down because of the very small totals that can be catered for compared with those envisaged in 1950, the more racially discriminatory the

scheme becomes.

9. When Sir Robert Black put forward his recommendation that the present evacuation scheme should be scrapped (in 1962) he expressed the very strong opinion that, even were evacuation feasible, it would be morally and politically wrong that any scheme should favour, or appear to favour, Europeans as against those Chinese, Indians, etc. which might wish to leave. He

considered that an evacuation scheme of this kind would deal a

severe blow to our international prestige particularly in Asia and Africa and in the new Commonwealth;

                          and that it would, for example, cause doubts to arise in Malaysia about whether, under direct attack. British troops might not be employed for the evacuation of British subjects rather than for the defence of Malaysia. Sir Robert expressed the view that European women and children would not be in greater peril than non-Europeans in the event of a Chinese attack, that the Chinese might be expected to deal far more harshly with those of their own race

/whom

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

whom they held to be "collaborators" with the British, or to be committed anti-communists; that the large number of European internees would be an embarrassment to the Chinese Peoples' Government who would wish to get rid of them eventually; and that the greatest danger to the European community would

arise not from Chinese Government troops but from mob violence

before the Communist authorities had established themselves and

which would be certain to occur if a breakdown of law and order were

precipitated by the diversion of British troops to cover an

evacuation.

10.

Speculation on the likely behaviour of the Chinese Government towards its troops must necessarily be of an uncertain

nature. To some extent this attitude would be conditioned by the

circumstances under which Hong Kong were taken over, If our Forces had done little more than "identify aggression" and had

thereafter been content to fight a delaying action without exposing the Colony to all the horrors of a resistance à outrance it is to be expected that the Chinese Government's desire to avoid unnecessary adverse publicity by illtreating the local inhabitants - Asian or European would prevail. On the other hand, in the unlikely event of nuclear weapons being used against the Chinese mainland as part of the defence of Hong Kong, it could well be that the Chinese Government Forces would do little to protect their enemies from the wrath of the mob. It is not to be denied however that in either eventuality a comparatively small number of Chinese loyalists and their dependents would be at greater risk than even Europeans and their families.

-

11.

    Had it been possible to implement an evacuation scheme under which a considerable proportion of those categories included in the original plan (see para, 1 above) would have had a reasonable prospect of safe removal, it is not thought that the Governor's objections to an arrangement which in effect would have led to a preference for Europeans need have been regarded as overriding. If, however, the military argument is accepted that any large-scale evacuation is impossible, then a decision of this question of principle raised by the Governor is not required. A decision would however be required if there was any question of: (a) an organised evacuation before the outbreak of hostilities, (b) if it were decided that plans should be held in readiness in case American military support and shipping were

/available

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

available to an extent which greatly improved the prospects of a successful evacuation, and (c) if it were decided that outline plans should be in readiness in case the military situation were not as desperate as assumed in this paper.

The Governor's Proposals

12. On (a) above the Governor's views are clear and are stated in paragraph 6 above. He does however agree that, before the outbreak of hostilities, the Hong Kong Government should ensure that, in the use of available sea and air transport, such arrangements as are possible in the situation at the time should be made to facilitate the departure of those who wish to leave, with priority for women, children and invalids and for people particularly liable to retaliation by the Chinese. possible these arrangements should be left in the hands of the shipping and air companies and the Government itself should take only the minimum action necessary to ensure that orderly arrangements are made.

As far as

On (b), the Governor thinks that the prospects of American intervention are insufficiently firm for evacuation plans to be based on this

possibility.

On (c), the Governor's view is that shipping is not likely to be available for anything approaching large-scale evacuation. The furthest the Governor believes we should go is to accept, assuming shipping space

were available and the risks at sea deemed acceptable, the ad hoc organisation of the evacuation of Service families, on the grounds that they could be got together quickly and virtually without planning or warning. For the rest, if the shipping companies had space, the most that should be done is to encourage them to make the best use of it, women and children first, on a first come first served basis, without racial discrimination.

A short list of particularly vulnerable persons should however be drawn up and advantage should be taken of any evacuation opportunities either by

commercial or naval transport.

Recommendations

-

13. Further discussions will be necessary with other Departments notably the Kinistry of Defence, Foreign Office and Commonwealth Relations

Office before final recommendations can be made to Ministers. It would

however be helpful to have guidance from Colonial Office Ministers before

we embark on these. It is suggested that our preliminary views should be on the following lines:

(a) on the assumption that resistance to a Chinese attack would be limited to what could be achieved by the present garrison, it should be accepted that any large-scale evacuation would be impracticable and that the present plan should be abandoned;

(b) it should be accepted that there could be no question of a planned evacuation before the outbreak of hostilities;

TOP SECRET

/(c)

1

Mr.

Mr.

File No..........

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Minister of State

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TOP SECRET

File No. FED. 528/400/01

Permt. U.S. of S.

Blue

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Your Reference.....

Date

DRAFT SUBMISSION TO MINISTERS

Note

HONG KONG

(a)

Evacuation of Civilians in Wartime

by the then feasting offate & hiffet,

(12) on

14521/15 of 1950

FURTHER ACTION

eg. in the Volunteer Fa

The courant resin the tham some 8 years)

old (then DIGIT)

(b) Assumption of Government by Commander

British Forces in Grave Emergency

(a)

At the time of the Korean War/Governor of Hong Kong was instructed to prepare plans for the

evacuation of civilians. He was told/that

while every effort must be made to avoid racial

discrimination, in the last resort, public opinion here would expect H.M.G. to ensure that no British women and children were unavoidably

left behind. It was eventually agreed that

plans should be on the basis that preferential treatment should be given to those who, if left behind, would be in danger of special

discrimination or mistreatment and were least

able to bear such treatment.

By this yardstick

top priority would be given to the dependents of service personnel, European women and children and the dependents of Hong Kong Chinese who had actively assisted Government/ Numbers involved were expected to be some 10,000, with a further 10 20,000 in lower priority categories, such as neutral men and women of friendlynthies

and wives and families of British Chinese on a

"first come first served" basis,

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TOP SECRET

   2. These plans were drawn up when there was a large garrison in Hong Kong (20 major units in 1951), when a prolonged and even a successful resistance was contemplated,/when Singapore was available as a staging post for evacuees. Even then 4 days' notice

would have been required to provide shipping for

10,000, and 10 days' notice for 16,000 refugees.

100

J. by 1960 the Garernor and the military authorities

in the Far Bast recommended that circumstances had

changed so radically şince 1951 that existing plans

were revitund

for evacuation shoull be abandoned,

With the 8 major

units then at his disposal (the garrison has since

been reduced to 6

Forces expressed the view that he could not cover

evacuation after the outbreak of hostilities.

major units) the Commander British

falt adored

With the Porces available/he might be able to hold

the rim of the harbour area for up to 3 days and to

contain internal disorder, but he could not at the

same time deploy the substantial forces that would

Gva, au Concurs til

be necessary to protect evacuees,

As the Airport would have been made unusable

and when Love was move possibility of firsborg Hemnet Lowe for Mills

in tuitre when Britt

at an early stage or an

attack

evacuation by air would be impossible. Organise

and movement in the harbour would not be possible and,

Sibollurg

with the Chinese patrolling by artillery, air and

naval units all the approaches to Hong Kong, any

major movement in or out of the Colony could not be

contemplated. For any shipping that got away there

would still be the hazards of a 640 mile journey to

Manilla, the nearest reception port.

4.Given this new military appreciation it is

obvious that shipping for evacuation could not be

brought in from outside. Reliance would have to be

placed on shipping already available, and this could

very

take only a small proportion of those eligible for

evacuation

the

J

bekist

remany

 and be recommended in 1962 At Existing Hans for wowration should be awarded.

and at lead to days would be required t asseuble additand siffing for Singappe and chehere,

TOP SECRET

Labt #

S The Governor considers that indications

that we were organising the evacuation of a wasthing Aganger.

favoured group, consisting largely of

European women and children, and the diversion

"white" British manpower

was being divorted

-

military and

civil /to do it would tend to accelerate the

breakdown of law and order, seriously

affecting in particular the morale of the Chinese Jobic rank and file, and thus increase

the risk of attack on "foreigners". Any

evacuation could include only small numbers

of the European women and children, and sett

Chinese loyalists who had to be left behind

ine

would be at greater risk because of the

evacuation attempt.

backed by the

6. The Governor's conclusions that any planned evacuation after hostilities have

de

started quite impracticable, He rejecte

the idea of any attempt to organise an

evacuation before the start of hostilities.

This would be interpreted both in Hong Kong

and in China not as clearing the decks for

action but as an admission of defeat and an

open invitation to a Chinese attack. As an

attack could be mounted at very short notice) we the wall be

should have no certainty of being able to

the additional tommage required by for a

successful evacuationútu Hong Kong ang out befrie

in the time at our disposal.

Ccomplete

an evacuation in time.

/From

TOP SECRET

(30) on 14521

/15 1950.'

TOP SECRET

Discriminatam in favor of European

From the very outset of evacuation planning successive Governors of Hong Kong have expressed the strongest objection to any evacuation plan

         In 1949 based on racial discrimination.

Sir Alexander Grantham said that he was certain

that his Execuative Council. if they were consulted, would insist that equal opportunities to leave must

be available to all, irrespective of race.

It

was thought that the numbers of non-Europeans

wishing to avail themselves of evacuation

+

opportunities would be limited thought it was recognised that any estimate of numbers must be

highly conjectural, At that time it was thought that àtotal of some 30,000 (including Europeans)

might wish to leave.

4. Subsequently, when it became clear that

shipping could not possibly be made available for numbers of

this order, and on the basis of the rulingquoted in paragraph/above, the Governor agreed to

the scheme described in paragraph

above

and felt that this," while being "beyond justifiable

criticism" would in fact enable the highest

priority to be granted to European women and

children since it could scarcely be denied that

they are the most vulnerable group of all.

At a later stage still however the view has been

taken in Hong Kong that even this scheme is

politically most objectionable in that it would be

obvious that its practical effect would be to

give preference to Europeans. The more categories

have to be pared down because of the very small

totals that can be catered for compared with those

envisaged in 1950, the more racially discriminatory

the scheme becomes.

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

q

When Sir Robert Black put forward his recommendation

that the present evacuation scheme should be

scrapped (in 1962) he expressed the very strong

opinion that, even were evacuation feasible,

it would be morally and politically wrong that any

scheme should favour, or appear to favour,

Europeans as against those Chinese, Indians, etc.

which might wish to leave. He considered that an

evacuation scheme of this kind might would deal a

severe blow to our international prestige,

particularly in Asia and Africa and in the new

Commonwealth; and that it would, for example.

cause doubts to arise in Malaysia about whether,

under direct attack, British troops might not be

employed for the evacuation of British subjects

rather than for the defence of Malaysia.

Sir Robert expressed the view that European women

and children would not be in greater peril then

non-Europeans in the event of a Chinese attack,

that the Chinese might be expected to deal far

more harshly with those of their own racewhom they

held to be "collaborators" with the British, or to

be committed anti-communists; that the large

number of European internees yould be an embarrassment to the Chinese/Government who would

wish to get rid of them eventually; and that the

greatest danger to the European community would

arise not from Chinese Government troops but from

mob violence before the Communist authorities had established themselves/which would be certain to

occur if the breakdown of law and order were

Berkes

precipitated by the diversion of British troops to

cover an evacuation, under the worst possible

circumstances,

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

lo Speculation on the likely behaviour of the

Chinese Government towards its troops must

necessarily be of an uncertain nature. To some

extent this attitude would be conditioned by the

circumstances under which Hong Kong were taken

over.

If our Forces had done little more than

"identify aggression" and had thereafter been

content to fight a delaying action without

exposing the Colony to all the horrors of a

resistance a outrance it is to be expected that

the Chinese Government's desire to avoid

unnecessary adverse publicity by illtreating

-

the local inhabitants Asian or European

would prevail. On the other hand, in the

unlikely event of nuclear weapons being used

against the Chinese mainland as part of the

defence of Hong Kong, it could well be that the

Chinese Government Forces would do little to

protect their enemies from the wrath of the mob.

It is not to be denied however that in either

eventuality a comparatively small number of

Chinese loyalists and their dependents would be

at greater risk than even Europeans and their

families.

//. Had it been possible to implement an

evacuation scheme under which a considerable

proportion of those categories included in the original plan (see para. 1 above) would have

had a reasonable prospect of safe removal, it is

not thought that the Governor's objections to

an arrangement which in effect would have led to

a preference for Europeans need to have been

regarded as overriding. If, however, the military

argument is accepted that any large-scale

evacuation is impossible, then a decision of this

/question

1

TOP SECRET

question of principle raised by the Governor

A decision would however be

is not required.

required if there was any question of;(a) an

organised evacuation before the outbreak of hostilities, (b) if it were decided that plans

should be held in readiness in case American

military support and shipping were available to

an extent which greatly improved the prospects of

wratin

a successful operation, and (c) if it were decided

that outline plans shoud be in readiness in case

the military situation were not as desperate as

assumed in this paper.

The Lovemon's Past

7Z on (a) above the Governor's views are clear and are stated in paragraph 6 above. He does

however agree that, before the outbreak of

hostilities, the Hong Kong Government should

ensure that, in the use of available sea and air

transport, such arrangements as are possible in the

situation at the time should be made to facilitate

the departure of those who wish to leave, with

priority for women, children and invalids and for

people particularly liable to retaliation by the Chinese. As far as possible these arrangements

should be left in the hands of the shipping and

air companies and the Government itself should

take only the minimum action necessary to ensure

that orderly arrangements were made.

on (b) the Grand Riche but this witely tit to Arawing would inthara the prospect of American interaction are inofficials fünf wanation Have she loved

to pribitit.

de

TOP SECRET

TOP SECRET

L

On (c) the Governor's view is that shipping is

not likely to be available for anything approaching

large-scale evacuation. The furthest the Governor

believe we should go is that, assuming shipping

space were available and the risks at sea deemed acceptable, the ad hoc organisation of the evacuation of Service families, on the grounds that they could

be got together quickly and virtually without

planning or warning. For the rest, if the shipping

companies had space, the most that should be done

is to encourage them to make the best use of it,

women and children first, on a first come first served

basis. without racial discrimination.

A short list

of particularly vulnerable persons should however be

drawn up and advantage should be taken of any

evacuation opportunities either by commercialor

military transport.

Recommendations

I Further discussions will be necessary with

other Departments

-

notably the Ministry of Defence,

Foreign Office and Commonwealth Relations Office -

before final recommendations can be made to Ministers.

It would however be helpful to have guidance f

Colonial Office Ministers before we embark on these.

It is suggested that our preliminary views should be

on the following lines:

(a) on the assumption that resistance to a Chinese

attack would be limited to what could be achieved

by the present garrison, it should be accepted that

any large-scale evacuation would be impracticable

and that the present plan should be abandoned;

(b) it should be accepted that there could be no

question of a planned evacuation before the outbreak

of hostilities;

TOP SECRET

(c)

i

TOP SECRET

Well we have Lotterys been rehstart to (despite the pahimming tables with to Avevious some you ago) &initrite totho with the American aat thing Kong it way

Mutishising Chicol

  mcg. aufible and the

Than

eplacement

   in the thinge hall islands sta sat of tag Kang

(c) the Governor's proposals for securing that

in a period of tension preceding the possible

   werpective of roce. outbreak of hostilities priority/should be

1

given to women, children invalids, and people

particularly liable to retalliation by the

Chinese should be accepted;

/should

(d) that, after the start of hostilities, ad hoc

arrangements only should be made on the lines of

para. 12)above.

(e) that we should consider with the Foreign

Office and the Ministry of Defence whether it

would be opportune to seek discussions with the

Americans about the defence of Hong Kong.

including evacuation plans.

Ministerial

instructions would be sought before there was

any question of initiating such discussions.

in any case be necessary to inform the

terms Americans, who are aware in gheral plans of the

original evacuation plan, that we do not now

consider it to be feasible. so that they can if

Ensula te pritom of

necessery-make separate provision for evacuating

their own nationals. (The Australians and

Canadians who have also been given assurances

about evacuation may also have to be informed).

While it is thought unlikely that the Americans

would wish to intervene if the Chinese attack was

directed against Hong Kong in isolation,

intervention is much more likely if Hong Kong

was attacked as part of a general conflict.

If there seemed to be a likelihood of the Americans

being able to intervene in a manner which would

make an orderly evacuation scheme feasible then

the whole picture would change and it would then

be necessary to decide whether a scheme on the

lines of the present one (1.e. with a certain

:

/element

TOP SECRET

element of racial discrimination) should be

adopted despite the political and moral

objections, or whether a scheme should be based

on a "first come first served" basis,

14 Finally it should be stressed that this whole question is one which is regarded by the

Hong Kong Government as an extremely sensitive hart

subject, because any leak that this subject was even being discussed could be construed as

indicating an intention to abandon our position

which would be likely to have a serious effect

on public confidence. For this reason, knowledge

of the evacuation schemes has been kept to a

very limited circle in Hong Kong, and it has not

form

been possible to draw-up any completely

satisfactory estimates of numbers who might

wish to avail themselves of evacuation

opportunities.

15

A

B attested

TOP SECRET

тор

SECRET

Mr. N.S.

4.5. Carter 45 Mr. Higham

Mr..

Mr.

File No. FED 518/noc/or

Permt, U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Sir

Secretary of State

Your Reference.

DRAFT

Capt. 1.G. Mason, R.N.

Mui. or Defence

(2)

жарат

to

your

latter

of the 7" November, 1963,

addremed

to

Alec Cumming - Bruce

about

The

Planning, Staff

exercise

on evacuation

from Hong Kong

which rest's

6-12

the

(33) Lver. Wht.

Curculation of your paper

J.P. (61) S7 (A) (Draft) of 2nd November,

1962.

S

Q

Sorry

That

Le

have

fo

Greally delayed consideration

FURTHER ACTION

of this matter.

2.

As

how

understand the position

after further discussion

and

correspondence with the Governor,

remains

1Zume

but-

one

paint

at issue

and

The

(66096) WI 42332-8517 50m 1/64 V.B. Gp 791

between BD CC (F.E.)

The Governor considers

Garemor.

1201

3.

practical

-

political grounds,

lange

scale

evacuation of non- Chmere

elements

of the population cannara

Take place

under

chat- 6012 before and after

any circumstances

the

;

~ both Chimere

-

Chinese

(29A)

Live Mps.

(3)

cm freu fyft.

dike

·25A).

hostilities only verwy

стови

will be ala

outbreak

д

humber

izsin

and

one

category

to Chiese retaliation)

to leave

;

and

Imiled

}

to leave anot

12ome vulnern

should be assisted

that, for there purposes,

any jorm of outline evacuation plan a Superfluous and would in

is

Jack be

A

misnomer. BDCC (F.E.)

Ow

other hand appear to mamtain

that

The view

some outline planning for the evacuation of much wider categories (particularly of

non-Chiere elements)

in

سلام به

Stination

to be

Cen

to take advantage of

which

the retamed

should

a

military

in the event,

maight hoo

12am envisaged

unfavourable

(Annex to C.0.5. (62) 379).

not entirely clear to

to wo

exactly

draft J.P.S. report (annexed to

SI-

4.

Where

12

J.P. (61) 5+ (A) (Draft)) stands

in this verject-

When it concludes

that BDCC (F.E.)

should

a se

Their report" as

G

basci for future

J

planminą

-1.e. Whethe

such pulanning

towards

to be directed

Myectwas recommended by the

(and accepted by BD CC (FE))

preparation of a much more ambition's scheme.

The very

limited

Governor

To live

But we have assumere that it bears

The latter The recommendation in 3DCC(FB)'s

Deir origmal report

any

since f

Con làm clien (C.0.5. (61) 130 (Renned)), which they did not find boo

need to modify

remation in their final report to be unconcatent mix the Govenor enuraged

outline plan which would

Jaranable circumstances

Brink women

The retention of

at least ensure in

all

The evacuation

and children.

Mr.

File No.........

Mr.

Mr.

Mr.

Sir

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Date

Your Reference

DRAFT

5.

think

That

from

the

purely

pragmatic angle

Governor is right in rejectingh

rejecting a large-

the

any

scale

evacuation

and

any planning

The

Case,

See lit,

set out-

That-end.

for accepting his views in

The attached

decision

forumarily

considerations.

memoran olun in,

turns

(however

on poblical

H.M. G.

en

What to dress up plans

The

Firstly

Pahe a

assemmend

will

need

Governor's

poblical

view

on the

(in Hong Kong and elsewhere)

window of any

off the

Lazopa

Scalef

dvicromaristory

to

weigh

12 in

balance

attempt at large scale

and secondly,

/ evacuation;

FURTHER ACTION

in

the

(E6098) WI 42332-8537 50m 1/64 V., Gp 791

assenment of

against their own

(a) the libaly judą ment

public opinion

if it was

seen

This comm

comntay

that ho

effent-

was made (more especially,

That no plans existed) to

evacuate

British

and children, and

(b) the probability that public criticisin

could be reasonably met by expected statement that, as anticopr

The actual circumstances

made evacuation imposible.

Political comiderations such an there

the ministerial instruction

A

in Hong Kong

led to

mi 1950

12at plans

children

for the evacuation of Bookish women

should be prepared,

after strong advice

had been tendered by

the contrary

then

the / Governor.

6.

his feel that there

are

two possible

Contes

(i)

reconside

12

J.P.S. draft-

(i)

report in the light of the arguments

inn the enclosed

Comed

Serve

memorandum (which

A

Colonial office paper)

To let the report go forward to the

Amanter of Defence (subject to

confirmation of amendments

discussed)

exchanged

mention

17

Ceveren

50

Jar

but to

minute

( Annex I to I,?? (61) 50 (A) (Draft)) the

difference of guinion with

17

need for

the Governor

an outline, plan

(particularly

197

a much wider and aware of

Hendral evacuation

Covering the

"than he recommends

hon - Chiese elements)

that

G

and

doasion here turns

than inchtary comderations

Wineh

The fact

on other

about

The Colonial Secretary will be

The Nemnly of Defences will then draft-

Consulting, taxi

a minute for

Minister to send

to the Prime Minister and

/ or Munter

of Defence

and

to any other of his

Mr.

File No.........

Mr.

Mr.

Mr.

Sir

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Your Reference.............

Date

------------------------ ANNA.....................i

DRAFT

colleagues

he

Consult

may wash This matter.

7. We are

melined

Conce

Sunce

to favour the second whatever agreed conclusion

may

h

at offecil level,

it

on the point at-issue

be reached

further consultation's

will be furt

and foremost far

Minister to decide

12ad the Governor showed be crevaruled

alternatively,

That the

necessary

action should

the

Fahen

to initiate

consultation

his colleag

za with a

View

to

reversal

the

bohay laid down in

of British women

1950

on evacuation

An of

children.

-

9. We

should

be

FURTHER ACTION

grateful for your

Views

how

we might proceed

(E6096) WI 42332-8537 50m 1/64 V.B. Gp 791

Whichever course is pursued,

Care home of

propone at the same

time to take

the

question of verokamą the

1951 Dormant

Commmion seseof the mention) ing providing for the appointment- of the Commander, British Forces

ar

Guvernar 22-26 of the memorandum).

in certain crcumstances (paras

TOP SECRET

File No. FED 528/400/01

Mr. T.S. Carter 5.

Mr...

Mr.

Mr......

Permt, U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Sir

Secretary of State

Your Reference.....

Date...

+

DRAFT

? Eurfeom

? Eufem

  Biting has been cancelled -see (28) ~ 1960/62 file

(28)~

>

FH.

FURTHER ACTION

While I sms and children were the first finity.

Evacuation of Civilians

from Hong Kong

This is regarded by the Hong Kong Government as an

because any leak that his extremely sensitive subject; any-public_reference-to-it Suluk Lim even buing durcumvent confil. would be construed as indicating an intention to abandon

our position there and would be likely to have a serious

effect on public confidence 7.

Since 1951 there have been in existence plans for the

evacuation of women, children and elderly men from Hong Kong

(code-names "Incubate" and, subsequently, "Digit"), in the

event of an actual or imminent emergency i.e. an attack by

the Chinese on the Colony. And from 1953 there has been in

existence a plan ("Biting") for the evacuation of civilian

men if a general evacuation became necessary.

2.

These plans had their roots in circumstances that were

very different from today's (particularly in regard to China's

military strength). They were based on the S, of S's instruction

in 1950 that ".......public opinion here would expect H.M.G.

to ensure that no British women and children were avoidably

left behind". Their existence was justified on the grounds

that white women and children "would be considered to be in

greater potential danger than local people". The plans a

répared provided, as a second priority, for the evacuation

of other persons (including Asians or Eurasians) who would be

(Q2431) 57024/8314 2MP 1/62 ATBS. 763

/in

TOP SECRET

in special danger. The evacuation of some 20-30,000 persons

was envisaged; the number today would be of much the same

order.

3.

The preparation of evacuation plans on a basis of racial

discrimination was (and continues to be) repugnant to the Hong

Kong Government. From time to time doubts have been expressed

as to their practicability in view of (a) the availability of

transport and (b) reductions in the size of the garrison

affecting its ability to maintain resistance for the necessary

length of time (14 days) without strong and timely reinforcement

(which would only come from the Americans). The garrison

has since been progressively reduced in size.

Le In 1960 the Commander British Forces in Hong Kong expressed

the view that, in the face of air attack and under conditions of

serious internal disorder (which it must be assumed would

accompany a Chinese attack), he could not with the forces

available carry out the task (then included in his directive)

of covering an evacuation after the outbreak of hostilities. A

review of evacuation policy was accordingly undertaken by

BDCC (F.E.) in consultation with the C.B.F. and Governor,

Hong Kong.

Evacuation after the Outbreak of Hostilities

!

5. The resultant military assessment (with which the Governor

agrees) confirmed the C.B.F's view that any large-scale evacuation

after the outbreak of hostilities would be impracticable,

except conceivably in the event of immediate American assistance.

On this latter point the Governor considers that a decision must

be taken on the basis that there is (and will be) no firm American

commitment,

6. In covering an evacuation, British troops and the Police

Force would be deflected from their primary tasks of meeting

!

aggression and of maintaining law and order. People on

/unprotected

}

Mr..

Mr.

Mr.

Sir

File No......

Your Reference

DRAFT

FURTHER ACTION

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Date.

Concederations.

14

ی

The crux of the malter in whether a plan for the general evacuation

of Eusebeam non-Chiene element's of

the population

(5-

fo.

for use in a

situation.

showed be retained

favourable militains

In Jaronn of velaming

Whole

A

plan

id=_com_be_predthat failure to

arrange for the evacuation of all

European bes

Chiere

elements before the outbreak of

bostilities

caned be

a

schoone of

political embarrasment for

in this ceranting

H.M.G. of and when the Chimene

move againit Hong Kong:

it would

be

of

Напа капа

was

Bout

little arand after

to the existence of

evacuation plans if

they were

well

-

to point

(and

in the event;

shown to be patently

unrealistic and incapable of

execution. This would indeed be

(86098) W: 42332-8537 50m 1[64 V.L. Gp 791

the case if events

were to show that;

TOP

SECRET

on a

progur rappreciation

to be faced in Hong Kong,

12

selination

no effect

plans could

be

made

to divert the

besen any shipping

and arcraft

12a1

an erRenation

comed not the covered

With the

forces

available.

16.

Even if it

Was

militarily

and other winne

practicable

to consider putting suech a plan

into operation, itf

is the

Goreman's view

that the internal pohtical consequences

Smeto

fotopascent its

Completion by adding greatly to the

problems facing

The defence and

secuiirting

forces

world

frevent its

Successful

of it's

completion.

At the same time,

Selective application to non-Chiese

be conse

elements of the

poprelation

The plan

+

side-effects

might have embarraning

The Commonwealth

17. Our

conclusion is that, for a

combination of military

political

on H.M.G'S

relation with

and mohlical

reasons

ainer

Large-scale

evacuation of

hona Chinese elements

the population

either before

Oy

would be unifiracticable

after the outbreak of hostilities

1201-

the altempt to organise

An of

such an

evacuation, learing Cheniere Barkinh subjects

to their fate,

defend

world

be difficult to

With mi (or withant) the Commonwealth.

in-special-danger, The evacuation of same 20-30,000 persons

was envisaged; the number today would be of much the same

order.

with a large olemat 5. The preparation of evacuation plans on-s-basis-of racial

ai

discrimination was (and contimes to be) repugnant to the Hong

A

Kong Government. From time to time doubts have been expressed

as to their practicability in view of (a) the availability of

transport and (b) reductions in the size of the garrison

Min 1951

for affecting its ability to maintain resistance for the necessary

length of time (14 days) without strong and timely reinforcement Tester mothe

dirin (which would only come from the Americans). The garrison

has since been progressively reduced in size;

151

A magasunite.

6 the

L

(0.3.K.).

20 majer

In 1960 the Commander British Forees in Hong Kong expressed

the view that, in the face of air attack and under conditions office.

serious internal disorder (which it must be assumed would

accompany a Chinese attack), he could not with the forces

available carry out the task (then included in his directive)

of covering an evacuation after the outbreak of hostilities, A

review of evacuation policy was accordingly undertaken by

BDCC (F.E.) in consultation with the C.B.F. and Governor,

Hong Kong.

Ivacuation after the Outbreak of Kostilities

e...

the

7 5. The remiltant nižštery assesment (with which the Governor

agrees) confirmed the ¤‚B;P's-view-that any large-scale evacuation

after the outbreak of hostilities would be impracticable,

except conceivably in the event of imediate American assistance,

On this latter point the Governor considers that a decision mast

be taken on the basis that there is (and will be) no firm American

ommitment.

86. In covering an evacuation, British troops and the Pelios

Ferce would be deflected from their primary tasks of meeting

aggression and of maintaining law and order. People on

/unprotected

W.5. Carter

12 528/400/01

a

serious effect on public confidence.

(monly but by is wean. escheme Forsplan)

I Evacuation of Civilians

from Hong Kong

[This is regarded by the Hong Kong Government as

extremely sensitive subject; any public reference to it

would be construed as indicating an intention to abandon

our position there and would be likely to have a stricis

effect on public cọnfidence 7.

lux..

Since 1951 there have been in existence plans/for the

evacuation of/women, children and elderly non from Hong Kong

men I

{sodo-names-"-Incubate" and, subsequently, ""Digit"), in the

at twarzenby kse. an attack-by

Chinese on the Colony? And from 1953 there has been in

existence a plan ("Beting2) for the evacuation of civilian

men if a general evacuation became necessary.

These plans had their roots in ciremstances that were

very different from today's (particularly in regard to China's

military strength). They were based on the S. of 8's instruction

in 1950 that ".......public opinion here would expect H.M.G.

to ensure that no British women and children were avoidably

left behind". Their existence was justified on the grounds

that white women and children "would be considered to be in

greater potential danger than local people", The pl

he-plane-de

sht

_of_other

as a second priority.

TOP SEORIT

unprotected avacuation ships would probably be in greater

danger at sea than in Hong Kong.

Evacuation before the Outbreak of Hostilities

97.

The Governor has argued that any attempt at large-scale

svacuation before the outbreak of hostilities would be incapable

of execution and politically inacceptable.

|

o 8.

There would be no means of transporting all who wished

to go. Organised evacuation would be interpreted as an

admission of defeat and would lead to a rapid deterioration in

the morale of the Chinese population and to a serious internal

security situation greatly impeding (and perhaps preventing)

efforts to arrange the departure of any section of the civilian

population.

19. Limited selective evacuation on the basis of race would be

morally indefensible and, in these days, might have grave

political repercussions for H.M.G. (o.g. in terms of relations

within the Commonwealth), Moreover, Europeans would not

necessarily be in greater danger of ill-treatment from the

aggressors than others. On the contrary, the main danger to

them would arise from the breakdown of law and order and the

development of mob violence and looting.

inding striking a

- Govenor and [T3DCC (FE).

Govornegie Roscmandations

Rescomendations Govend

2 10.

The Governor has accordingly recomended that

(a) Before the outbreak of hostilities: the

Hong Kong Government should ensure that, in the use

of available sea and air transport, such arrangements

as are possible in the situation at the time should

be made to facilitate the departure of those who

wish to leave, with priority for women, children

and invalids and for people particularly liable to

/retaliation

F

!

!

(b)

TOP

1

SECRET

retaliation by the Chinese; the Government should take

only the minimum action necessary to achieve this

aim.

After the outbreak of hostilities: plans should be made

for the Navy to evacuate as many as possible of the

on pret cont qrammals) particularly vulnerable who still remain when hostilities

start.

In both cases, no element of compulsion or of racial discrimination

would be involved.

3 11.

While EDCC (F.E.) accepted these recommendations, they

in for general

                                      apa Fune considered it necessary to retain some outline evacuation plan in

A

order to take advantage of a military situation which, in the event,

Eight prove to be less unfavourable than envisaged. The Governor,

Let The W

suduration

on the other hand, takes the view that "there should be no 'evacuation

+

plans' - outline or detailed - for the general evacuation of any large

part of the population either before or after the outbreak of

hostilities".

12.

The Governor's view is based on the argments set out in para".

5-9 above that any large-scale evacuation is impracticable and

politically unacceptable, whatever the military situation. In

particular, he argues that shipping is not likely to be available

"in those last few days" and the numbers who will be able to take

advantage of the opportunities offering will be so small that it

would be a misuse of words to call the necessary preparations an "ovacuation plant, se onvisages that planning should amount to

no more than preparing lists of those who fall into the vulnerable

categories. The evacuation of women, children and invalids prior

to hostilities should be left to the shipping companies to arrange

on a first-come-first-served basis, in the light of shipping space

available and of the current assesment of the risks at sea;

Minit.

L

I

TOP SEORIT

a possible exception might be made in the case of service families

whose organised evacuation might be feasible because they could be

got together quickly and with the minimam of planning and warning.

Considerations

13.

Failure to arrange for the compulsory evacuation of all

European women and children before the outbreak of hostilities

could be a source of political embarrasment for H.M.G.

14. On the other hand it would be of little avail after Hong

Kong was overrun to point to the existence of well-laid evacuation

plans if, in the event, they were shown to be patently unrealistic

and incapable of execution. This would indeed be the case if

events were to show that, on a proper appreciation of the situation

to be faced in Hong Kong, no effective plans could be made to

divert the necessary shipping and aircraft or that an evacuation

could not be coväred with the forces available.

15.

It has been recognised (0,D.C. (62)1) that, in the event

of an apprehended or actual outbreak of global war:-

(1)

with the dispersal of shipping to safe havens, there is

likely to be little or no transport either during a

precautionary period or after the outbreak of

global war;

(11)

apart from some possible opportunities for local

evacuation from likely target areas plans for the

movement of large numbers by sea or air would be unwise

and unrealistic.

There is no scope in Hong Kong for purely "local" evacuation.

16. In the event of a limited Chinese attack on Hong Kong, all

available information points to a deliberately mounted and rapid

assault in overwhelming force which will give little time for

precautionary preparations. It will be preceded and/or accompanied

by serious internal disorder fomented from outside the Colony (and

aggravated by any sign that the Colony was being abandoned), which

Avill

TOF

SECRET

ל

1

will fully occupy the garrison and police force to the exclusion of covering an

evacuation.

17. There are no plans to reinforce Hong Kong in the event of external

aggression. There is no American commitment to come to the Colony's aid,

The end is likely to come very quickly before transport for evacuation could

be mobilised.

Conclusions

18. Any large-scale evacuation of non-Chinese elements of the population

from Hong Kong, whether compulsory or voluntary, is seen to be impracticable

on the following grounds:-

19.

(1)

(11)

(121)

Serious internal disorder would precede and/or accompany a

Chinese attack, with the result that military and security

forces would be unable to cover evacuation.

A Chinese attack would be sudden and in overwhelming force; no

external assistance can be expected and the end in Hong Kong

would come very quickly.

Transport would not be available in the event of a global

war and could not be mobilised in time in the case of a Huited

attack on the Colony.

Such large-scale evacuation would have serious looal political consequencer

aggravating the anticipated internal disturbances and night, because of its

selective application to non-Chinese elements of the population, have embarrass-

ing political side-effects on H.M.G's relations with the Commonwealth,

20. Any outline planning to this end would be more window-dressing which,

in the event, would deceive no one,

21. It is therefore recommended that there should be no planning for the

large-scale evacuation of non-Chinese elements of the population, either before

or after the outbreak of hostilities, and that the Governor's proposals

in para 10 above for making use of such limited opportunities as my arise on abain free from raund discomm walioù

Ashould be accepted,

TOP

SECRET

unprotected evacuation ships would probably be in greater

danger at sea than in Hong Kong.

Evacuation before the Outbreak of Hostilities

7.

The Governor has argued that any attempt at large-scale

evacuation before the outbreak of hostilities would be incapable

of execution and politically inacceptable.

8.

There would be no means of transporting all who wished

to go. Organised evacuation would be interpreted as an

admission of defeat and would lead to a rapid deterioration in

the morale of the Chinese population and to a serious internal

security situation greatly impeding (and perhaps preventing)

efforts to arrange the departure of any section of the civilian

population.

9.

Limited selective evacuation on the basis of race would be

morally indefensible and, in these days, might have grave

political repercussions for H.M.G. (e.g. in terms of relations

within the Commonwealth). Moreover, Europeans would not

necessarily be in greater danger of ill-treatment from the

aggressors than others. On the contrary, the main danger to

them would arise from the breakdown of law and order and the

development of mob violence and looting.

Governor's Recommendations

10.

The Governor has accordingly recommended that:-

Before the outbreak of hostilities:

(a)

the

Hong Kong Government should ensure that, in the use of available sea and air transport, such arrangements

as are possible in the situation at the time should be made to facilitate the departure of those who

wish to leave, with priority for women, children and invalids and for people particularly liable to

/retaliation

TOP SECRET

itsiy

(b)

retaliation by the Chinese; the Government/should take

only the minimum action necessary to achieve this

aim.

After the outbreak of hostilities: plans should be made

for the Navy to evacuate as many as possible of the

particularly vulnerable who still remain when hostilities

start.

In both cases, no element of compulsion or of racial discrimination

would be involved.

11.

While BDCC (F.E.) accepted these recommendations, they

considered it necessary to retain some outline evacuation plan in

order to take advantage of a military situation which, in the event,

might prove to be less unfavourable than envisaged, The Governor,

on the other hand, takes the view that "there should be no 'evacuation

plans* - outline or detailed for the general evacuation of any large

-

part of the population either before or after the outbreak of

hostilities".

12. The Governor's view is based on the arguments set out in paras

5-9 above that any large-scale evacuation is impracticable and

politically unacceptable, whatever the military situation.

particular, he argues that shipping is not likely to be available

"in those last few days" and the numbers who will be able to take

advantage of the opportunities offering will be so small that it

would be a misuse of words to call the necessary preparations an

"evacuation plan". He envisages that planning should amount to

no more than preparing lists of those who fall into the vulnerable

categories. The evacuation of women, children and invalids prior

to hostilities should be left to the shipping companies to arrange on a first-come-first-served basis, in the light of shipping space

available and of the current assessment of the risks at sea;

/a

TOP SECRET

a possible exception might be made in the case of service families whose organised evacuation might be feasible because they could be got together quickly and with the minimum of planning and warning.

Considerations

13.

Failure to arrange for the compulsory evacuation of European women and children before the outbreak of hostilities

could be a source of political embarrassment for H.M.G.

14.

On the other hand it would be of little avail after Hong

Kong was overrun to point to the existence of well-laid evacuation

plans if, in the event, they were shown to be patently unrealistic

and incapable of execution. This would indeed be the case if

events were to show that, on a proper appreciation of the situation

to be faced in Hong Kong, no effective plans could be made to

divert the necessary shipping and aircraft or that an evacuation

could not be covered with the forces available.

15. It has been recognised (0.D.C. (62)1) that, in the event

of an apprehended or actual outbreak of global war:-

with the dispersal of shipping to safe havens, there is

likely to be little or no transport either during a

precautionary period or after the outbreak of

(i)

to least

Alsbad wan

fitely

event

Jou

global war;

(ii)

apart from some possible opportunities for local

evacuation from likely target areas plans for the

movement of large numbers by sea or air would be unwise

and unrealistic,

There is no scope in Hong Kong for purely "local" evacuation,

16.

In the event of a limited Chinese attack on Hong Kong, all

available information points to a deliberately mounted and rapid

assault in overwhelming force which will give little time for precautionary preparations. It will be preceded and/or accompanied by serious internal disorder fomented from outside the Colony (and aggravated by any sign that the Colony was being abandoned), which

/will

TOP SECRET

will fully occupy the garrison and police force to the exclusion of covering an

evacuation.

17. There are no plans to reinforce Hong Kong in the event of external

aggression. There is no American commitment to come to the Colony's aid.

The end is likely to come very quickly before transport for evacuation could

be mobilised.

Conclusions

18.

Any large-scale evacuation of non-Chinese elements of the population

from Hong Kong, whether compulsory or voluntary, is seen to be impracticable

on the following grounds:-

(1)

(ii)

Serious internal disorder would precede and/or accompany a

Chinese attack, with the result that military and security

forces would be unable to cover evacuation,

A Chinese attack would be sudden and in overwhelming force; no

external assistance can be expected and the end in Hong Kong

would come very quickly.

(iii)

Transport would not be available in the event of a global

!

war and could not be mobilised in time in the case of a limited

attack on the Colony.

19. Such large-scale evacuation would have serious local political consequences

aggravating the anticipated internal disturbances and might, because of its

selective application to non-Chinese elements of the population, have embarrass-

ing political side-effects on H.M. G's relations with the Commonwealth.

20. Any outline planning to this end would be mere window-dressing which,

in the event, would deceive no one.

21. It is therefore recommended that there should be no planning for the

large-scale evacuation of non-Chinese elements of the population, either before or after the outbreak of hostilities, and that the Governor's proposals

in para 10 above for making use of such limited opportunities as may arise

should be accepted.

Pör Pic.

Mr.

Mr..

File No.

------F-----------

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Mr.

Mr.

Sir

Your Reference.

DRAFT

FURTHER ACTION

[E609) W) 42332-0537 50m 1/64 V.B. Gp 791

خیر

Date

Dormant Commission.

Theme

in existence a

22.

Dormant

Commmion

providing for the

appointment of the Commander, British

Forcen

in Hong Kong

and Commander.

в кой

the event of an emergency and at

The Governer

-

Chief of the Colony

when

both the

The Governor

anne

Should

assume

both arie and

the C.B.E. and

agreed that the former

over-all

ilitary.

command,

This Commission wan

made in

23.

1951

when Chmore

multiany strength

was not so

Ная кая

than it is

today.

formidable

And the gamin

a great deal larger The role

of

the

garviion

hon

12en

to

рил про

the

strongest possible coordmated resistance until eventually driven back to the sea". With this concept of defence to the better.

was camppland evacuation of all

end

not-essential

gor

the

a plan non-Chmore wichane

to the military effort. St-

was envriaged that at a stage when

enclitary Considerations became paramount the Governor world also leave the Colony,

24.

POLLA

4

In it's inclitary role today

at it's present streng 17

to identify aggremien "

ر

12

Garnom,

merely

Serve

Chria has the

capabubuting of manuting an attack against the

in overwhelming force,

Colony

that agamit smely an attack

inderfenible. There

and it in accepted

The Colony in

no fvarnion for enteral cened probably

remifercement and resistance

25

not be maintained for

That resistance

more than 48 hers. cannot (and showed not the

unnecessary) Grolonged

Ov

as reflectical in

denial policy which restrict

destruction to installations of short term inclitamy

Valme

Whatever

may be deaded with regard to

evacuation ( Part A whore), it

1201-

ag amer

this background

is considered

(Zare

longer

The

any justification for the exntence Dermant Communion

remani at his host

of

The Gevarner should

and, in the event of the

Colcuy's

Surrender

to Chinia,

should do

What he can to maintain continuity and

10

Sele

Terms

during the hand-over, reasonable

and conditions for the people of

Hong Kong (particularly of the British

sulyends

+

26.

51- -

выть поте 60th non-Chien

therefore recommended

Dormant Communion

and Chinese).

that the

should be veroked.

L.s. Carter.

17.

Mr...

Mr... R

Mr..

Mr.......

Sir

DRAFT Sudan

to Iamastur

To? SECRET

File No. F 578/406701

FIED

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly, U.S. of S.

Minister of State

142

There shed tear open s

рате

extione consitivity It mayet h

Secretary of State

Your Reference.....

Date.....

Evacuation of

Archan's

from

Hong Kong conditerem.

[This to regarded by the Hong Kong Govt. are

extremaly

sensitive subject; any buthi reference to it would be

construed

Mitas Mas as inchcorting an

intention to abandon cue parution there

ainst wonder the

thely to have a serious effect on public conglalence.]

Sma

1951

in existence plans for

there have been

plans for the evacuation

FURTHER ACTION

of

women

Children

and elderly

(

Code -hamne ś

from Hong Kong

Inabale

The event

emergency

on the Colony.

has been

and Subsequently, "Digit"),

an

actual

imminent

attack by the Chiene

155-3 12ame

An

Amar from

uni exetence

for the evacuation

General evacuation

2.

These plans

Cwaumstancaro

a plan ("Beling")

cvilian and i

became necessary.

had themi roots in

very

That

werve

today's (particularly

China's

вана

(Q1544) 49179/8178 2MP 2/61 AT85. 763

1201-

"....

different from

in regard to

muhtary streng 12). They

12m 5.5's

sary instruation in 1950

humble opinion have would public

!

کرے

expect H.M. G.

women

behind".

to ensure

That no Bartuch

and children

Their existence

12 Gronnals

were avoidably left-

That white

was justified

amat

F

children

would be considered to be in

greater potential danger

12am

local

people".

The plans

krepared

provided

A

Secon of

brity,

J

4.

have a

For the evacuation of other person's

(melnding Asians

te

Eurasians)

who

in speciaal danger.

The

evacuation

q

Some

envmaged

persons

Gumber

Pla, 20-30, 000

was contemplated;

Foday

высота

of much the same be very much greatics

the

Orday

3.

The preparation

8

evacuation plans on

a basus

racial discrummotion

was

to be) repugnam(-

Cand

Continines

to the Hong Kong Government. Her

pracdient compteritious

F

The sepeng om plane in from time to time

danbuls

mi

view

161

Cure Can whane expressed

Be to

their practicability

of the availability of

• Franc; wi Availability of shopping

and the effect of reductions

The Gameson

12

The size of

Cabany's abubuting

to

the

without streng

mantam resistance Jar sty

length of time (14 days)

and timely

не сатану

fremforcement (which could only comme

The Americans).

Ailitary Reassessment-

British Forces in

from

The Garrnin has sina been progrenwely

rechuced in

fije.

the Commander

In 1960

Home Kong expressed

The view

Mt.......

Mr.......

Mr....

Mr.

Str.

DRAFT

File No.

Permt. US. of S.

Parly. U.S. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Date..

Your Reference.

that,

wi

the face of a

aw attack

after the outbreak of

hostilt an

FURTHER ACTION

---

and under

conditions of serious

internal disorder (which it must-

be assumed

attack), he

wild accompany

come o

forms available

then

task Gemcluded

of covering

hot-

Carry

a Chinen

cucit the

and the

in his directive)

an execuationa

accordingly

A verwer

of excauation pokey was undertaken

by

W112

BDCC (F.E.) in commitation

Ithe C.B.F.

Hong Kong

an of

Geremer,

Evacuation sturing Onther 2 Hotubation (w112 which the Governor agrees)

The military asserment of conformed

5

The C.B.F's view

1201-

any large a

evacuation after the outbreake

women

be impracticable,

scale

of horlichties wild

exceput conceivably

in the event of

immediatio

The Pr.

So if

p-southery

Fingremionof and

e

له

::

!

(Q1544) 19179/8175 2MP 2/61 AT&S, 768

American assistance. On

This latter point the Governor considers

A

That planning must facet on

basis mat

the

te

be)

there is (and will be

no form American commitment.

6. 5 Governor's Reassment.

The Goranay

har-arqued Camo BD) CC (FE) have

диа

Coutine fol

ད་

on Grenadi

beat before ha

(0) Enquan

of chefs and

acuplied)

any attempt at that large-scale compulsor

bestickties

evacuation before the outbreak of

is

[politically unacceptable

Grounds that:

(the

Ha

(a)) racial discrimmation inverted y would

be morallen indefenceble

days

might have

Anot

mi there

¿

grove political

repercussions for H.M.G. Gus term

relations within

(b) it would lead to

7

morale

The Commonwealth)

among the

a rapid datammation

The masses of the accordingly

Chinese population

to se

from ot

a ex internal security salvation

world greatly impede

whin

pashape

arance

Irevent all efforts to

12

departure of any section

7

tha

→ samanly be

Gutades d'ange of ill-trend entud" fa 120mm on Laws

arban population.

B

7.

He / Therefore

me commands

that :.

he has dripped 19

use of this phrase

las Before the outbreak of hostilities: there

a

should be in voluntary assiste of

scheme with

dezantime

praruling for women.

children,

mrahos

nt

people particularly

liable to veľabation by the Chinese,

inthaut

Bby After Hall his Ihe outhreat of

F.

In both cases

The C.3. F.

hostilities:

evacuation

final

(unted

very

showed the attempted

of personnel of special value

(e.g. intelligence and communications

st-ath)

capture

Mis.

and of archan's whore

would be compromisiną

would involve them in

extreme danger.

no racial discrummation would be involed.

and BDCC (FE) have endorsed

Mr....

Mr.....

Mr..

Mr.......

Sir

DRAFT

File No.

Permt. U.S. of S.

Parly, US. of S.

Minister of State

Secretary of State

Your Reference.

Date......

Mere

9.

military authorities

?

recommendations.

Area of disagreement.

The

l'omicole

that

to quie effect to the proposals

para 7

Somme

form of

and line planning

necessary.

planning is necess

The Governor appears to maintain

The view

that

There

shamed the

4

ho

evacuation plans"

outline

detailed

argumg

1201-

shopping in

not wheln to be

available

in those

last days

and

Bai

The numbers hirolved will

L

be so small

That it wramed

the a

bon 15

of words

to call tod

FURTHER ACTION

an "aramal.on

to.

necessary preparations an

Filan"

Failure to arrange for the

compulsory evacuation of European

1

children before the outbreake

women

97

hostilities could be

Service of

(Q1544) 19179/8175 2MP 2/61 AT&S. 768

political embarrassment for H.M.G.

It would be an essential part of

HM.G's case

+

defending

their

paration

to point to the exutence

Où in the hand st

Ele vaike.

+

-

ut of dim thi

in ostos?

well-laid plans

departure of

chose

Women

to leave.

therefore that

for the voluntary

children who

St

cow, deve of

bance plans for

implementing the voluntary assisted departure scheme (covering admmmstrative

procedures, assembling of the shops and

aircraft, ecc.)

must exist

OK

paper.

Conclusions.

12at the aqued

proposals in para 7

be accepted,

subject to thre

Above

Hong Kong Government-

requirement that the Hong Kong

with departiment's

Shameel

mi comiultation

of H.M.G.

make

such and time

plans

Cur

are necessary for the implementation

of a voluntary assisted departure scheme

in the period prior

hostibles.

to the outbreaks of

Colomore office,

Nocember, 1963.

SAVE

DEF

SECRET

119/380/01

Ө

THIL ACUMENT IS THE PROPERTY OF HER BRITANNIC MAJESTY'S GOVERNMENT,

U.D.C.(62) 1

CUPY NO. 81

13th July, 1962

EVACUATION OF BRITIS SUBJECTS OVERSEAS

IN THE VENT OF GLOBAL WAR

Memorandum by the Uversea Defence Committee

Attached at Annex A is the relevant part of a Report prepared by a Working Party set up by the Evacuation from Abroad Sub-Committee of the Oversea Defence Committee, to consider the policy to be adopted for evacuation of British subjects who are overseas in a Precautionary Stage.

2. In the light of the considerations set out in the Annex and the conclusions reached in paragraphs 5 and 6, the Oversea Defence Committee consider that United Kingdom overseas posts should be guided by the following recommendations in the preparation of evacuation plans (vide Chapter VII, Section H of the U.D.C. memorandum 0.0.0.(58) 16 - Preperation of Defence Schemes).

(a) It is the policy of Her Majesty's Government that it is neither practicable nor desirable to make plans for evacuation of British nationals to the United Kingdom which is likely to

major target area for nuclear attack. Plans for evacuation during a precautionary period, should therefore be for local evacuation only from likely target areas and should be based on the local availability of transport and possible reception areas. It would be unreal to attempt to co-ordinate such plans in the United kingdom; they should be laid in advance as far as possible by posts abroad.

(b) In the case of NATO countries and those countries whicn are assessed as "safe" in Annex B, the policy should be to "stay-put" (which does not exclude all local moves to nearby areas of greater relative safety).

(c) It would be unwise to count on assistance from the Services because they will be preoccupied with other tasks having higher priority. But for the reasons given in paragraph 4(b) of Annex A, and in the unlikely event that the Services may find themselves able to assist, it would be important to keep local Service Commanders informed of the evacuation plans in their areas.

a) Plans for evacution after the outbreak of war should be prepared for countries, other than NATO countries, which are shown as likely to be subjected to attack by the enemy or where a breakdown of law and order is expected.

A very limited amount of sea or air transport may become available at this stage.

(a) cre co-ordination of local evacuation plans is possible or desirable this should be undertaken in accordance with the groupings shown in the Overseas Defence Committee memorandum Regional Co-ordination of United Kingdom Overseas Authorities in Global War (U.D.C.(59) 13 (Final)).

-

SECRET

-1-

SECRET

(f) The Services should be responsible for purely local evacuation of their dependants from likely target areas, their dependants should be included in any more ambitious civilian plans.

3. It is essential to guard against the aggravation of the international political situation by the premature imple- mentation of evacuation plans and it must therefore be emphasised that no plans should be put into execution without first obtaining authority from London or until it is known for certain that nuclear attack has been made on the United Kingdom. Authority to implement evacuation plans in overseas territories will be given by means of the evacuation of British Subjects telegram (telegram no. 28 in the memorandum on Notification of Precautionary and War Measures - 0.D.C.(60) 3 (Final)). The responsibility for keeping under review the plans for evacuating British subjects overseas belongs to the Oversea Defence Committee.

4. With the exception of paragraph 3 above, this memorandum is intended to be for guidance only.

(Signed) A.H. FOYNTON

Chairman,

Overson Defence Committee

London,

13th July, 1962

-2-

SECRET

SECRET

AN EX A

Intelligence Assessment (July 1961)

1 •

The most likely risk of war is judged to come not from a calculated Soviet nuclear attack, but from a miscalculation which will probably be preceded by a period of political tension of indeterminate length during which Her Majesty's Government

                                         However, would be able to take certain precautionary measures. warning of the moment of attack derived solely from intelligence of a technical nature might in most favourable circumstances be as little as forty-eight hours; in the worst case the warning might be less than fifteen minutes. The implementation of evacuation schemes during a period of tension is inhibited because such overt actions would be likely to aggravate the situation.

2.

The NATO countries (except, perhaps Norway, Denmark, Greece, Portugal and Iceland) and peripheral strategic bases wherever situated, are likely to be involved in the initial nuclear exchange. The Near and Middle East and North Africa, except where there are strategic bases, are unlikely to receive nuclear attack in the first stages of global war, but certain strategic areas may be the targets for conventional attack; and in many of the Middle East countries there may be a breakdown of law and order. In the Far East, China might or might not immediately enter the war on the side of the Soviet Union, but is likely to take advantage of the situation to pursue her own interests. Any movencnt in the Far East by sea may be hazardous, from the moment global war has broken out. South America and Africa south of the Sahara are unlikely to be attacked, but there may be a breakdown of law and order in many African countries. A list of countries assessed as being unlikely to be subjected to attack is given in Annex B.

Regional Co-ordination

3. One result of a nuclear attack on the United Kingdom may be the complete severance of communications between Her Majesty's Government and posts abroad. In these circumstances action should be taken in accordance with Oversea Defence Committee memorandum 0.D.C.(59) 13 (Final) -Regional Co-ordination of United Kingdom Overseas authorities in global war. Evacuation plans, where they exist, should be co-ordinated between posts in similar lines.

Availability of Transport

La (a) Civilian Transport

The policy is to disperse shipping to safe havens during a precautionary period, and subsequently tho shipping in overseas areas would as a first priority be directed by Ministry of Transport Shipping Representatives to assist with the rehabilitation of devnsted arcas. Similarly civil aircraft during the precautionary period would either be directed to military reinforcement task or evacuated from the danger zones. Subsequently, such aircraft, together with military transport aircraft would come under the control of a joint (R..F./Civil) headquarters to be known as the Joint Air Transport Headquarters and would also be directed to help with the rehabilitation as a first priority. It is therefore difficult to forecast what sea or air transport would be available for evacuation, but there is li.ely to be little or none in most places either during a precautionary period or after the outbreak of global war and it is considered that it would be unwise to prepare schemes envisaging evacuation of large numbers by sea or air.

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(b) Service Transport

It would be equally unrealistic to rely on Service transport, as the Services are likely to be fully occupied with preparations for war or in the prosecution of the war itself. They could be responsible for the purely local evacuation of their dependants from likely target. areas, using Service transport, but would wish their families to be included in any more ambitious civil schemes. The Services would co-operate to the maximum extent possible in any evacuation scheme and should be consulted in all planning.

Conclusion

5.

In the precautionary period, the dispersal of shipping and aircraft to safe havens makes it impossible to make an assessment of transport available for evacuation purposes. It would therefore be unwise to rely on evacuation plans involving the movement of British subjects by sea or air. Furthermore, it seems questionable whether the putting into effect of any large-scale evacuation plans would be politically acceptable in a period of tension, as it could be interpreted as an overt act likely to aggravate the situation.

6. After the outbreak of war, civil and Services shipping and aircraft would as a first priority be directed to assist in the rehabilitation of devasted areas and would not be available for the evacuation of refugees from areas which had not been affected by the nuclear exchange.

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ANNEX B

COUNTRIES UNLIKELY TO BE SUBJECTED TO ATTACK

(See Paragraph 2(b) of covering note)

Afghanistan

Algeria

Ascension

Ceylon

Cyrenaica

Egypt (not Suez Canal)

Falkland Islands

Fiji

Finland

India

Indonesia

Israel

Japan

Jordan

Lebanon

Morocco

Muscat and Oman

Nepal

Pacific Islands

Qatar

St. Helena

Sweden

Switzerland

Syria

Tonga

Tripolitania

Trucial States

Tunisia

The West Indies

Central America

South America

East Africa/South Arabia

South and Centrul africa West Africa

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